Association of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score With Mortality in Emergency General Surgery Patients

“Emergency general surgery (EGS) is associated with increased rates of morbidity and mortality compared with non-emergent general surgery cases.8 Patients undergoing EGS are approximately 2.5 times more likely to experience a significant complication and have a 6-fold increase in mortality relative to non-EGS patients. The underlying causes of this increased morbidity and mortality are not fully understood, but medical comorbidities and physiological derangements are likely to be contributing factors. Although surgical risk calculation tools such as the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project Surgical Risk Calculator are used to gain an objective sense of surgical risk stratification, such tools have yet to be comprehensively studied in this patient population and do not include the use of liver disease–specific assessment tools such as the MELD score in the prediction of outcomes among patients with CLD undergoing EGS.”

“These data demonstrate that in critically ill patients with CLD, increased MELD score is associated with increased mortality and hospital readmission following EGS. Concurrently, MELD score reduction exerts a protective effect in this patient population. The identification of exposures that are predictive of outcomes in EGS patients may be useful for preoperative planning and may be useful inclusions for future risk stratification models. Furthermore, EGS patients with CLD might benefit from enhanced longitudinal care following hospital discharge to reduce unplanned readmissions. Further investigation into the relationship between MELD score and outcomes in patients without CLD is warranted.”

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